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Fed Can Hike Even Without Inflation - Wells Fargo
Thursday, August 6, 2015
Since early 2014 the Federal Reserve has
held out two goals that must be achieved before it raises the Federal Funds
rate, "maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent." In an Inflation Chart Book report this week
Wells Fargo's Economics Group examine why inflation, or lack of it, should not preclude
the anticipated September liftoff.
Economists Sam Bullard and Sarah House
write that weak inflation has been the biggest impediment to the Fed normalizing
monetary policy this year and inflation, while rising over spring and early
summer is still not where policymakers would like it to be. Increases in the personal consumption
expenditure (PCE) deflator (2.4 percent) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) (3.5 percent) over
the last three months suggests that
inflation should continue to move back toward the Fed's target but these
headline gains are in near-term jeopardy.
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